trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +11.1% | +0.5% | 33% | 33% | -3.1% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 38% | 12% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +3.4% | -6.4% | 33% | 11% | -8.4% |
| all | 18 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 50% | 6% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.9% | 6% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -16.7% | 6% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -24.7% | 0% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | Jun 23 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $12 | +$4 | +33% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 27 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $7 | $0 | +5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 26 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 25 | $29 | −$3 | -9% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 25 | $29 | $0 | +2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 23 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $11 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in April? | Apr 07 | $13 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30? | Apr 06 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Mar 30 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 27 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 22 | $13 | $0 | +0% |