trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Jun | Jun 12 | $0 | +$1 | +300% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 7? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +35% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 9? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +59% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +36% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 7? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 6? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 7? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Jun | Jun 12 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 9? | Jun 09 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $0 | $0 | +63% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +36.1% | +23.1% | 67% | 47% | +34.1% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +36.1% | +23.1% | 67% | 47% | +34.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +36.1% | +23.1% | 67% | 47% | +34.1% |
| all | 15 | +36.1% | +23.1% | 67% | 47% | +34.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +23.1% | 47% | +34.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +11.4% | 47% | +21.3% |
| 15% | +0.6% | 40% | +9.6% |
| 20% | -9.3% | 27% | -1.2% |