Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:41:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D7
0xd713…6cd4
crypto · 325 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses291 / 33
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)324 / 325
History coverage20d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 324 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Birmingham (Doubles): Barnett/Murray vs Preston/Swan Barnett/Murray 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$4
sports 3% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 -0.8% -10.2% 86% 25% -9.9%
≤30d 324 -1.3% -10.7% 90% 13% -10.1%
≤90d 324 -1.3% -10.7% 90% 13% -10.1%
all 324 -1.3% -10.7% 90% 13% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 13% -10.1%
10% -19.3% 7% -18.7%
15% -27.1% 4% -26.6%
20% -34.2% 2% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 637 history records