Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd6f7…27b7
other · 9 markets active 4h ago
2.0score
−$6 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$43 · open −$50
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,369
Realized+$43
Unrealized−$50
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions7
Markets (closed)2 / 9
History coverage2d
Avg bet$182
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 7 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$43
7 days+$43
14 days+$43
30 days+$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $250 $265 +$15 (+6%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $250 $256 +$6 (+2%)
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? No 70¢ 69¢ $250 $248 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 69¢ 69¢ $240 $242 +$2 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $200 $195 −$5 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 38¢ $197 $132 −$65 (-33%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-0%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $172 +$71 +41%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $28 −$28 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 56% +$70
sports 29% −$91
crypto 16% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $200 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $242 16h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $243 16h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $28 19h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $172 19h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $31 41h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $257 41h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $257 41h
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? BUY No 70¢ $252 41h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $202 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-36.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -29.3% -36.0% 50% 50% +10.1%
≤30d 2 -29.3% -36.0% 50% 50% +10.1%
≤90d 2 -29.3% -36.0% 50% 50% +10.1%
all 2 -29.3% -36.0% 50% 50% +10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.0% 50% +10.1%
10% -42.1% 50% -0.4%
15% -47.7% 50% -10.1%
20% -52.9% 0% -18.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,368.52 · official $1,369.20 (match) · 12 history records