Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd6dc…194d
crypto · 887 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$579 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$579 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$579
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses634 / 250
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)884 / 887
History coverage77d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day25.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 884 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days−$202
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 64¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the fight be won by submission? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) Khamzat Chimaev 80¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$35 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$14 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $153 −$24 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$24 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $125 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$13 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$17 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$16 +32%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $35 +$20 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$24 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $127 −$108 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$31 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET May 25 $51 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 25 $151 +$18 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 25 $51 +$19 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 25 $114 −$22 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 25 $252 +$26 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 25 $150 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET May 25 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 25 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 25 $55 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 25 $62 +$27 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 25 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET May 25 $51 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 25 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 25 $75 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 25 $50 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 25 $51 +$13 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$448
sports 0% −$151
other 0% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +1.9% -7.8% 71% 59% -9.4%
≤30d 165 +1.4% -8.2% 79% 41% -11.2%
≤90d 884 -0.9% -10.4% 72% 44% -10.4%
all 884 -0.9% -10.4% 72% 44% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 44% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 29% -18.9%
15% -26.8% 18% -26.8%
20% -34.0% 10% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.65 · official $39.65 (match) · 3500 history records