Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T14:09:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D6 0xd6d3…6300 crypto 1652 markets active 0h ago coverage 27d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 27d only
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$777 (-8%) realized −$777 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate79%1310W / 342L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day65.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days+$41
14 days+$37
30 days−$258
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$259
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 199 +4.5% -5.5% 82% 71% -5.7%
≤30d 1652 -0.7% -10.1% 79% 45% -11.9%
≤90d 1652 -0.7% -10.1% 79% 45% -11.9%
all 1652 -0.7% -10.1% 79% 45% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 45% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 21% -20.4%
15% -26.6% 9% -28.0%
20% -33.8% 5% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$777
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1310 / 342
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1652 / 1652
History coverage27d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day65.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1652 Trades
no open positions (170 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records