Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:40:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd6cf…1025
sports · 107 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$160 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$198 · open +$37
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized−$198
Unrealized+$37
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses47 / 58
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions2
Markets (closed)105 / 107
History coverage108d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$8
14 days−$96
30 days−$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 20¢ 56¢ $15 $42 +$27 (+178%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Over 29¢ 50¢ $15 $26 +$11 (+72%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5 Yes 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) Cavaliers 33¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Yes 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5 Yes 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Timberwolves 48¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5 Yes 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 Yes 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5) SSC Napoli 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5 Yes 77¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5 Yes 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 Yes 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-11.5) Pistons 28¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Timberwolves 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Yes 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Cavaliers 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5 Yes 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) Pistons 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5 Yes 46¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) Cavaliers 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 06 $15 −$15 -98%
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $8 +$9 +105%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $18 −$18 -98%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 Jun 05 $15 −$15 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 05 $10 −$10 -98%
Julian Champagnie Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $15 +$15 +100%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5 Jun 04 $15 −$15 -98%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 Jun 04 $15 −$15 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 04 $31 −$30 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) May 26 $27 −$27 -98%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 May 26 $15 +$12 +76%
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) May 25 $21 −$21 -98%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5 May 25 $10 −$10 -98%
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5 May 25 $30 −$30 -99%
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5 May 25 $24 +$11 +48%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 May 25 $25 +$17 +67%
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) May 23 $13 −$13 -98%
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5 May 23 $8 +$5 +57%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) May 22 $10 −$10 -98%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 21 $20 −$20 -98%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 May 20 $20 +$21 +105%
Dean Wade: Assists O/U 0.5 May 20 $5 +$5 +90%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline May 20 $26 +$43 +165%
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 May 19 $16 +$10 +65%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 May 19 $12 +$12 +97%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 18 $11 +$18 +158%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline May 16 $5 +$6 +124%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5 May 15 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET May 15 $7 −$7 -96%
Spread: Pistons (-11.5) May 13 $30 −$30 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) May 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5 May 12 $25 −$25 -98%
Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5 May 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $51 −$50 -99%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5) May 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 May 11 $7 +$9 +132%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves May 11 $31 +$53 +172%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) May 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $15 +$25 +165%
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5 May 09 $19 +$38 +197%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 May 09 $15 +$19 +126%
Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline May 09 $7 +$12 +169%
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 14.5 May 08 $10 +$12 +119%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5 May 07 $15 −$15 -98%
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5 May 07 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07? May 07 $24 +$40 +165%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) May 07 $14 −$14 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$96
other 9% −$41
crypto 3% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners BUY Over 29¢ $15 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 20¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $15 6d
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 BUY Yes 49¢ $18 7d
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 BUY Yes 48¢ $8 7d
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 BUY Yes 51¢ $15 7d
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Spurs 44¢ $10 7d
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5 BUY Yes 42¢ $15 9d
Julian Champagnie Total 3-Pointers (incl. OT): O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $15 9d
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 BUY Yes 36¢ $15 9d
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 42¢ $31 9d
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Spurs 28¢ $27 17d
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) BUY Cavaliers 33¢ $21 18d
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 BUY Yes 56¢ $15 18d
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5 BUY Yes 42¢ $10 18d
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5 BUY Yes 77¢ $30 18d
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5 BUY Yes 67¢ $24 19d
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 BUY Yes 59¢ $25 19d
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) BUY Cavaliers 32¢ $13 20d
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5 BUY Yes 63¢ $8 21d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 39¢ $10 21d
Cavaliers vs. Knicks BUY Cavaliers 36¢ $20 22d
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline BUY Cavaliers 37¢ $26 24d
Dean Wade: Assists O/U 0.5 BUY Yes 52¢ $5 24d
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 BUY Yes 48¢ $20 24d
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 BUY Yes 60¢ $16 25d
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 BUY Yes 50¢ $12 25d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons BUY Cavaliers 38¢ $11 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +3.7% -6.2% 50% 50% -35.7%
≤30d 31 -10.8% -19.3% 45% 45% -25.4%
≤90d 104 -5.1% -14.2% 44% 44% -21.8%
all 105 -3.9% -13.0% 45% 45% -21.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 45% -21.3%
10% -21.4% 45% -28.8%
15% -29.0% 45% -35.7%
20% -35.9% 44% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.49 · official $67.49 (match) · 174 history records