trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -16.7% | -24.7% | 78% | 11% | -4.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -22.2% | -29.6% | 73% | 9% | -4.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 77% | 8% | -4.8% |
| all | 13 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 77% | 8% | -4.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.9% | 8% | -4.8% |
| 10% | -33.0% | 0% | -13.9% |
| 15% | -39.5% | 0% | -22.2% |
| 20% | -45.4% | 0% | -29.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 13¢ | $10 | $13 | +$2 (+24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $434 | +$37 | +8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jun 17 | $166 | +$35 | +21% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $348 | +$9 | +3% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $341 | +$7 | +2% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $304 | +$26 | +9% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $285 | +$15 | +5% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $286 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Jun 01 | $188 | +$12 | +6% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump Leave China on May 15? | May 15 | $119 | +$4 | +3% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | May 13 | $8 | $0 | +5% |