Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:56:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd6ab…1533
crypto · 51 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$19 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$276
Realized−$18
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses21 / 27
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions3
Markets (closed)48 / 51
History coverage13d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day36.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 3 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$74
7 days+$138
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 37¢ 36¢ $226 $225 −$1 (-0%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $49 $48 −$1 (-2%)
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+29%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $70 +$77 +109%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $50 −$2 -5%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$9 +44%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $40 +$32 +79%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $20 +$23 +114%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 06 $73 −$73 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 06 $400 −$243 -61%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 04 $20 −$1 -4%
Iran closes its airspace by July 31? Jun 04 $10 −$2 -21%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 Jun 04 $157 +$172 +109%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $10 $0 +2%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 03 $15 $0 +2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 03 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $10 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $8 +$4 +55%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $22 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $10 +$16 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1PM ET Jun 01 $6 −$1 -24%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1PM ET Jun 01 $4 −$1 -25%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET May 31 $4 +$2 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET May 31 $13 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET May 31 $19 +$5 +27%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET May 31 $4 +$11 +249%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 31 $1 $0 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 31 $1 $0 -38%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 31 $1 $0 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 31 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 31 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 31 $4 −$1 -31%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 31 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 31 $16 −$7 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET May 31 $2 −$1 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 31 $8 +$7 +88%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 31 $11 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 31 $17 −$3 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 31 $8 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET May 31 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 31 $5 −$1 -14%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 31 $16 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 31 $39 −$34 -87%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 31 $6 −$2 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 31 $16 +$3 +17%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 31 $16 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 31 $41 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$103
crypto 22% +$3
other 9% +$83
world 2% −$3
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $50 38m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $50 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $50 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $20 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $50 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $48 30h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $50 30h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Justin Gaethje 20¢ $50 31h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $20 2d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $20 2d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $20 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $20 2d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $20 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $20 3d
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $20 3d
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs BUY San Francisco Giants 46¢ $20 6d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) SELL Knicks 44¢ $157 8d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 47¢ $1 8d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 54¢ $1 8d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 54¢ $1 8d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 54¢ $1 8d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 47¢ $1 8d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 54¢ $1 8d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 47¢ $1 8d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 47¢ $1 8d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 54¢ $1 8d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 54¢ $1 8d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 54¢ $1 8d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 47¢ $1 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +68.4% +52.3% 80% 80% +52.7%
≤30d 48 -1.8% -11.1% 44% 31% -10.8%
≤90d 48 -1.8% -11.1% 44% 31% -10.8%
all 48 -1.8% -11.1% 44% 31% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 31% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 29% -19.4%
15% -27.4% 25% -27.2%
20% -34.5% 17% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $276.27 · official $276.27 (match) · 529 history records