Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T21:13:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D6 0xd6aa…5613 crypto 553 markets active 2d ago coverage 24d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$26 (+1%) realized +$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate58%320W / 233L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day64.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$3
14 days−$2
30 days−$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -4.3% -13.4% 63% 57% -5.2%
≤30d 553 -6.0% -14.9% 58% 50% -12.3%
≤90d 553 -6.0% -14.9% 58% 50% -12.3%
all 553 -6.0% -14.9% 58% 50% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 50% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 38% -20.7%
15% -30.5% 26% -28.4%
20% -37.3% 14% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.61 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses320 / 233
Open positions0
Markets (closed)553 / 553
History coverage24d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day64.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 553 Trades
no open positions (132 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 27 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 27 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 27 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 27 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 27 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$5 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 27 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1572 history records