Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:46:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd6a6…fe46
other · 3 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
−$9 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open −$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized+$19
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$19
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 24¢ $50 $21 −$29 (-58%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 30¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $116 +$19 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 92% −$11
sports 8% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $15 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $51 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 97¢ $134 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $116 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +16.2% +5.1% 100% 100% +5.1%
≤30d 1 +16.2% +5.1% 100% 100% +5.1%
≤90d 1 +16.2% +5.1% 100% 100% +5.1%
all 1 +16.2% +5.1% 100% 100% +5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.1% 100% +5.1%
10% -5.0% 0% -5.0%
15% -14.1% 0% -14.1%
20% -22.6% 0% -22.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.78 · official $37.78 (match) · 4 history records