trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +7.7% | -2.6% | 50% | 50% | -16.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -1.0% | -10.5% | 45% | 45% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 40 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 45% | 45% | -5.7% |
| all | 40 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 45% | 45% | -5.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.7% | 45% | -5.7% |
| 10% | -6.2% | 45% | -14.8% |
| 15% | -15.3% | 45% | -23.0% |
| 20% | -23.6% | 42% | -30.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | No | 58¢ | 57¢ | $44 | $44 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 28 | $10 | +$12 | +119% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $10 | +$6 | +62% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $20 | +$34 | +165% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $103 | +$117 | +114% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $48 | +$62 | +129% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 26 | $83 | −$82 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 26 | $20 | +$22 | +109% |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks | May 22 | $80 | −$38 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | May 22 | $5 | +$5 | +101% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 22 | $20 | +$21 | +101% |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions | May 21 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks | May 20 | $96 | −$94 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | May 20 | $20 | +$15 | +73% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $51 | +$81 | +158% |
| Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducks | May 17 | $41 | +$102 | +249% |
| Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards | May 16 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers | May 12 | $20 | +$19 | +93% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 11 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $20 | +$35 | +172% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 09 | $21 | −$20 | -96% |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | May 08 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 08 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | May 06 | $20 | +$91 | +442% |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers | May 06 | $20 | +$7 | +37% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 06 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 05 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | May 05 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | May 05 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $20 | +$59 | +291% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | May 04 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 03 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $24 | +$57 | +237% |