Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:47:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd68f…e402
crypto · 176 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$55 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$57 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$354
Realized+$57
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses162 / 11
Open positions3
Markets (closed)173 / 176
History coverage171d
Avg bet$279
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 173 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$2
14 days+$5
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 16? Yes 100¢ 99¢ $182 $181 −$1 (-1%)
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 16? No 99¢ 99¢ $106 $106 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 16? No 100¢ 100¢ $67 $67 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 13? Jun 13 $356 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $356 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $355 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $355 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 7? Jun 08 $355 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $354 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $354 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $354 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 4? Jun 04 $109 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $351 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on June 3? Jun 03 $352 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1? Jun 01 $314 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? Jun 01 $38 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 30? May 30 $313 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 28? May 28 $313 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26? May 26 $313 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24? May 25 $312 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 23? May 23 $312 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 21? May 22 $311 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 19? May 19 $311 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on May 15? May 15 $291 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 9? May 09 $321 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 7? May 07 $320 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? May 01 $348 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 April 20-26? Apr 27 $348 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on April 25? Apr 25 $348 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on April 23? Apr 23 $347 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 20? Apr 20 $347 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 April 13-19? Apr 20 $347 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 17? Apr 18 $346 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 16? Apr 16 $346 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 15? Apr 16 $346 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14? Apr 15 $345 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 13? Apr 14 $345 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 April 6-12? Apr 13 $345 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 11? Apr 11 $344 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 8? Apr 10 $344 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 7? Apr 07 $344 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 6? Apr 06 $343 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on April 5? Apr 05 $343 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on April 4? Apr 04 $343 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 2? Apr 02 $342 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 1? Apr 01 $342 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? Apr 01 $342 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 30? Mar 31 $341 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 March 23-29? Mar 30 $341 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 30? Mar 29 $341 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 29? Mar 29 $341 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 29? Mar 28 $341 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 28? Mar 28 $340 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$55
world 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 16? BUY No 99¢ $106 1h
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $67 1h
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $182 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $356 47h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $356 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $355 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $355 5d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $355 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $354 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $354 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $354 9d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 4? BUY No 100¢ $2 9d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 4? BUY No 100¢ $107 9d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $351 9d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $352 11d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1? BUY No 100¢ $314 12d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $313 14d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $313 17d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $313 18d
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24? BUY No 100¢ $312 20d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 23? BUY No 100¢ $302 22d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 23? BUY No 100¢ $10 22d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 21? BUY No 100¢ $295 24d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 21? BUY No 100¢ $16 24d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 19? BUY No 100¢ $311 27d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,700 on May 15? BUY No 100¢ $291 30d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $10 32d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 9? BUY No 100¢ $321 35d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 7? BUY No 100¢ $320 38d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $28 41d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 21 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 66 +0.1% -9.4% 95% 0% -9.4%
all 173 +0.1% -9.4% 94% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $354.08 · official $354.08 (match) · 405 history records