Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:56:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd68e…9731
crypto · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$3 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-33.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -26.9% -33.9% 50% 50% -27.6%
≤30d 4 -26.9% -33.9% 50% 50% -27.6%
≤90d 4 -26.9% -33.9% 50% 50% -27.6%
all 4 -26.9% -33.9% 50% 50% -27.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.9% 50% -27.6%
10% -40.2% 50% -34.6%
15% -46.0% 50% -40.9%
20% -51.3% 25% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 6 history records