Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:54:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd681…8d99
crypto · 229 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$242 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$428 · open +$57
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$157
Realized−$428
Unrealized+$57
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses136 / 92
Open positions1
Markets (closed)228 / 229
History coverage192d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 228 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$62
14 days−$104
30 days−$409
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 48¢ 74¢ $100 $157 +$57 (+57%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on February 15? Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on May 28? Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$3 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $62 −$2 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $51 +$6 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$5 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$4 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$2 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$364
other 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $53 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $6 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -11.7% -20.1% 64% 43% -22.2%
≤30d 220 -11.2% -19.7% 61% 42% -16.7%
≤90d 220 -11.2% -19.7% 61% 42% -16.7%
all 228 -12.1% -20.5% 60% 41% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.5% 41% -17.0%
10% -28.1% 24% -24.9%
15% -35.0% 15% -32.2%
20% -41.4% 11% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $156.76 · official $156.76 (match) · 614 history records