trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 22 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 18 | $1,248 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jun 18 | $1,278 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 18 | $1,335 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Jun 17 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Jun 17 | $1,303 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 17 | $1,400 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Jun 17 | $1,318 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 18 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Apr 17 | $4 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 16 | $15 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 | Apr 13 | $178 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 11 | $172 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 02 | $138 | $0 | -0% |
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Apr 02 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 02 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026? | Mar 29 | $87 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March | Mar 29 | $63 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 29 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | Mar 25 | $145 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 25 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026? | Mar 25 | $49 | $0 | -0% |