Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:42:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd676…1384
crypto · 1618 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$29 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$29 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses867 / 680
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1547 / 1618
History coverage44d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day67.6
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 1547 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$170
7 days−$50
14 days+$151
30 days+$103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 46¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? Jun 13 $3 −$5 -167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$13 -133%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$246
other 5% −$41
sports 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 630 +3.8% -6.1% 53% 53% -12.3%
≤30d 1204 +8.9% -1.5% 57% 56% -6.2%
≤90d 1547 +5.2% -4.8% 56% 54% -8.8%
all 1547 +5.2% -4.8% 56% 54% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 54% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 52% -17.5%
15% -22.3% 48% -25.5%
20% -29.9% 44% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.87 · official $2.09 (match) · 3500 history records