Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T19:46:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D6 0xd671…87b6 crypto 27 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (96 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$67 (+5%) realized +$67 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -25% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate48%13W / 14L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day96.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (96 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-32.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -24.9% -32.1% 48% 26% -7.7%
≤30d 27 -24.9% -32.1% 48% 26% -7.7%
≤90d 27 -24.9% -32.1% 48% 26% -7.7%
all 27 -24.9% -32.1% 48% 26% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover96.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.1% 26% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -38.6% 19% -16.6%
15% -44.5% 19% -24.6%
20% -50.0% 11% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 33% · top 2 57% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
46% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -25% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -32% → late -18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$10 · ×1.27 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.18 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses13 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage1d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day96.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 27 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $66 +$40 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $56 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 22 $54 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 22 $23 −$12 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $32 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $134 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 22 $14 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 22 $209 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 22? Jun 22 $10 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 22 $128 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 22 $60 +$53 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 22 $111 +$17 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 22 $57 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 22 $116 −$61 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 22 $105 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 22 $8 −$6 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 22 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 22 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 22 $11 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 22 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 22 $14 +$5 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $81 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $55 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $56 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $56 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $57 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $54 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $23 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $16 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $16 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 108 history records