Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:57:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd665…45d6
crypto · 1821 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1588 / 244
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1832 / 1821
History coverage62d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1832 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$17
14 days−$25
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$9
sports 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 281 -2.7% -11.9% 86% 54% -12.9%
≤30d 1386 -0.6% -10.0% 87% 58% -9.8%
≤90d 1832 -0.5% -10.0% 87% 58% -9.9%
all 1832 -0.5% -10.0% 87% 58% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 58% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 5% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records