Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:48:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd663…6abc
crypto · 1704 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$553 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$553 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$553
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1392 / 312
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1704 / 1704
History coverage52d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day41.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 0 History 1704 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$237
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 10PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$8 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$8 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$7 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$11 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$9 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$10 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$9 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$10 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$488
other 29% −$66
tech 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -26.3% -33.3% 49% 33% -19.1%
≤30d 324 -12.3% -20.6% 49% 39% -18.7%
≤90d 1704 -3.4% -12.6% 82% 14% -10.6%
all 1704 -3.4% -12.6% 82% 14% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 14% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 13% -19.2%
15% -28.6% 12% -27.0%
20% -35.6% 9% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records