trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +42.8% | +29.2% | 40% | 40% | +6.1% |
| ≤30d | 30 | +13.8% | +2.9% | 33% | 30% | -2.8% |
| ≤90d | 30 | +13.8% | +2.9% | 33% | 30% | -2.8% |
| all | 30 | +13.8% | +2.9% | 33% | 30% | -2.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.9% | 30% | -2.8% |
| 10% | -6.9% | 30% | -12.1% |
| 15% | -15.9% | 27% | -20.6% |
| 20% | -24.1% | 17% | -28.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 55¢ | 50¢ | $37 | $34 | −$4 (-10%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 40¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Makarska: Miriam Bulgaru vs Noma Noha Akugue | Miriam Bulgaru | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$4 | -78% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$8 | +165% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$4 | -19% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$2 | -78% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $10 | +$17 | +165% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$7 | +650% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$6 | -64% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $9 | +$11 | +114% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard | Jun 12 | $3 | +$1 | +46% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -45% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$5 | -50% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $20 | +$8 | +41% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 04 | $11 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | -16% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| ITF Luan: Yaojie Zeng vs Minghui Zhang | Jun 03 | $5 | −$3 | -54% |
| ITF Wuning: Chenting Zhu vs Reina Goto | Jun 03 | $5 | −$1 | -10% |
| ITF Wuning: Wushuang Zheng vs JiaYi Wang | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | -8% |
| ITF Harmon: Riku Takahata vs Youssef Kadiri Hassani | Jun 03 | $5 | −$5 | -88% |
| ITF Wuning: Yanan Hou vs Kyoka Okamura | Jun 03 | $19 | +$18 | +95% |
| ITF Harmon: Matt Kleiman vs Ryo Minakata | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | -13% |
| Birmingham: Ugo Blanchet vs Felix Gill | Jun 03 | $5 | $0 | -10% |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Jun 03 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swan | Jun 02 | $3 | +$1 | +35% |
| Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvet | Jun 02 | $2 | +$1 | +50% |
| Makarska: Miriam Bulgaru vs Noma Noha Akugue | Jun 02 | $2 | −$1 | -26% |