Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:22:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd65a…21eb
crypto · 1300 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$327 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$324 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$288
Realized−$324
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1244 / 51
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1295 / 1300
History coverage54d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day32.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 5 History 1295 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$286
7 days−$190
14 days−$285
30 days−$371
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No 100¢ 100¢ $70 $70 −$0 (-0%)
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No 98¢ 98¢ $70 $69 −$1 (-1%)
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No 99¢ 97¢ $70 $69 −$1 (-2%)
Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election? No 99¢ 99¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-0%)
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election? Yes 99¢ 98¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $92 +$56 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$90 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$90 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $92 +$34 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $94 −$90 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$109 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $95 −$90 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$16 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$23 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$90 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$3 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$176
other 12% −$56
finance 6% +$13
sports 6% −$57
politics 5% +$3
world 4% −$65
culture 2% +$7
tech 1% +$3
economics 1% +$2
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $45 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $45 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $45 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $45 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $45 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $45 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $45 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $45 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $45 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $45 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 338 -0.5% -10.0% 92% 11% -11.1%
≤30d 726 -0.5% -9.9% 94% 6% -10.7%
≤90d 1295 -0.1% -9.6% 96% 3% -10.3%
all 1295 -0.1% -9.6% 96% 3% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 3% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 1% -18.9%
15% -26.2% 1% -26.7%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $287.84 · official $287.84 (match) · 3500 history records