Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:24:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd64d…28a6
sports · 453 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11,725 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,322 · open −$284
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,092
Realized−$12,322
Unrealized−$284
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses212 / 227
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$999
Open positions14
Markets (closed)439 / 453
History coverage76d
Avg bet$300
Trades / day32.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 14 History 439 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$488
7 days−$6,405
14 days−$6,317
30 days−$4,164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Under 97¢ 100¢ $2,377 $2,454 +$76 (+3%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $1,614 $1,699 +$85 (+5%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Under 73¢ 100¢ $938 $1,285 +$347 (+37%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 70¢ 70¢ $1,104 $1,118 +$14 (+1%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? No 96¢ 100¢ $872 $908 +$36 (+4%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Over 64¢ 100¢ $416 $654 +$237 (+57%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 90¢ 88¢ $300 $295 −$5 (-2%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Over 92¢ 100¢ $163 $177 +$14 (+9%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 86¢ 100¢ $149 $172 +$23 (+16%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score No 62¢ 100¢ $97 $157 +$60 (+62%)
Australia leading at halftime? Yes 89¢ 100¢ $88 $98 +$10 (+12%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 51¢ 50¢ $50 $49 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $26 $25 −$0 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Under 11¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Türkiye 87¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Under 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 30¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Singapore vs. Mongolia end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $800 +$59 +7%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $12,095 −$679 -6%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $443 +$107 +24%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Jun 13 $500 +$30 +6%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5,178 −$3,450 -67%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $210 +$226 +107%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $8 +$2 +22%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $157 −$43 -28%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $2,656 −$2,652 -100%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $34 +$41 +119%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $21 +$36 +167%
Will Angola win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $76 +$60 +79%
Will Central African Republic win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $51 $0 +1%
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $25 +$68 +270%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $650 +$477 +73%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $52 +$46 +90%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $1,017 +$941 +92%
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $25 +$3 +12%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $143 +$57 +40%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $361 −$340 -94%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $139 +$9 +6%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2,411 +$232 +10%
Will Syria win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $25 $0 -0%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $211 +$49 +23%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $3,473 +$136 +4%
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? Jun 05 $152 +$15 +10%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $78 −$77 -99%
Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $17 +$133 +790%
Will Indonesia vs. Oman end in a draw? Jun 05 $20 −$19 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $549 +$65 +12%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 05 $39 −$25 -62%
Will Thailand vs. Kuwait end in a draw? Jun 05 $18 −$18 -99%
Will Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia end in a draw? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Oman win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $31 −$30 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $13 −$3 -21%
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $70 +$58 +83%
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $187 +$9 +5%
Will Togo win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $55 −$54 -99%
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $12 −$12 -97%
Will Guatemala vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 05 $10 −$10 -97%
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 04 $6 $0 -6%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $127 −$103 -81%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $244 −$241 -99%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $96 +$78 +82%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $5,506 +$98 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$12,134
other 15% −$519
world 0% +$77
crypto 0% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 71¢ $364 24m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 80¢ $8 31m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $71 34m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 97¢ $48 35m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 97¢ $477 35m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 97¢ $1,430 35m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 97¢ $381 35m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 77¢ $19 37m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 97¢ $14 38m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 97¢ $32 38m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 97¢ $3 38m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 97¢ $100 38m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 97¢ $81 38m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 97¢ $32 38m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 97¢ $309 38m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 73¢ $18 39m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 97¢ $143 39m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 97¢ $584 39m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 97¢ $520 39m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 97¢ $100 39m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 97¢ $216 39m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 97¢ $10 39m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 69¢ $7 41m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 89¢ $44 44m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 61¢ $45 45m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 94¢ $23 47m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 94¢ $277 47m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 49m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 2¢ $1 49m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 45¢ $11 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -19.3% -27.0% 50% 30% -35.9%
≤30d 287 -14.0% -22.2% 46% 34% -13.3%
≤90d 439 -8.8% -17.4% 48% 38% -18.3%
all 439 -8.8% -17.4% 48% 38% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 38% -18.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 29% -26.1%
15% -32.6% 24% -33.3%
20% -39.2% 20% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,091.80 · official $9,091.80 (match) · 2838 history records