trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +25.5% | +13.5% | 100% | 100% | +13.5% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +25.5% | +13.5% | 100% | 100% | +13.5% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -61.0% | -64.7% | 14% | 14% | -61.6% |
| all | 11 | -52.6% | -57.1% | 18% | 18% | -55.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -57.1% | 18% | -55.0% |
| 10% | -61.2% | 18% | -59.3% |
| 15% | -64.9% | 9% | -63.2% |
| 20% | -68.4% | 9% | -66.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $49 | $48 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | Jun 17 | $39 | +$10 | +26% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? | Apr 08 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | Apr 08 | $10 | −$9 | -88% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX? | Apr 08 | $2 | −$1 | -29% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | Apr 08 | $110 | −$86 | -78% |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | Mar 24 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | Mar 24 | $210 | −$23 | -11% |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 16 | $25 | +$19 | +75% |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 14 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | Mar 02 | $14 | −$4 | -26% |