Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:22:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd63d…e141
crypto · 150 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$21 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$145
Realized−$19
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses17 / 35
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions98
Markets (closed)52 / 150
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day333.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 98 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$19
14 days−$19
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 83¢ 78¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 63¢ 64¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 74¢ 70¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 88¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Under 65¢ 64¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 60¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 42¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+135%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+47%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 40¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+150%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? No 99¢ 98¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 97¢ 97¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Metizport 92¢ 95¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? No 95¢ 91¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 74¢ 90¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+22%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +43%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -36%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 46% −$18
other 29% −$2
sports 23% −$1
world 2% $0
weather 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 76¢ $2 43m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 43m
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $1 43m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 40¢ $1 43m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $1 43m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 64¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 43m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 83¢ $4 43m
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 92¢ $2 43m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 13¢ $0 43m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 43m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $0 44m
Will Brayden McNabb score the most goals in a single game during the 2 BUY Yes 1¢ $0 44m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 44m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $0 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 44m
Will Eric Robinson score the most goals in a single game during the 20 BUY Yes 3¢ $0 44m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 37¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 44m
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 9¢ $0 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 44m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-39.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -33.5% -39.8% 33% 21% -23.5%
≤30d 52 -33.5% -39.8% 33% 21% -23.5%
≤90d 52 -33.5% -39.8% 33% 21% -23.5%
all 52 -33.5% -39.8% 33% 21% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover333.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.8% 21% -23.5%
10% ← realistic here -45.6% 15% -30.8%
15% -50.8% 13% -37.5%
20% -55.7% 10% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $144.54 · official $144.42 (match) · 362 history records