Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:49:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D6 0xd62a…12b3 crypto 1376 markets active 0h ago coverage 57d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 56d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$137 (+0%) realized +$3 · open +$134
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%1362W / 36L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$39per market
Trades / day37.6pace
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$289now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$575
7 days−$554
14 days−$503
30 days−$486
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% +$113
other 8% +$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -34.2% -40.4% 65% 0% -21.2%
≤30d 365 -5.7% -14.7% 93% 0% -11.3%
≤90d 1398 -1.8% -11.1% 97% 0% -10.5%
all 1398 -1.8% -11.1% 97% 0% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 0% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 0% -19.1%
15% -27.4% 0% -26.9%
20% -34.5% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$29 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.43 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

57d coverage
Net worth$289
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$134
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1362 / 36
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1398 / 1376
History coverage57d ⚠
Avg bet$39
Trades / day37.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1398 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 0¢ 94¢ $0 $134 +$134 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 25 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$33 -125%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $76 −$76 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $140 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $59 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $74 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $83 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $31 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $44 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $142 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $14 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $26 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $44 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $142 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $142 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $142 +$4 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $94 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $105 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $142 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $142 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $111 +$4 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $142 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $35 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $35 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $35 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $35 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $83 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $59 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $74 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $20 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $44 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $142 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $31 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $7 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $42 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $40 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $14 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $26 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $142 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $13 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $44 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $142 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $142 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $8 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 39h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 39h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 39h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $94 40h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $142 40h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $142 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $289.48 · official $254.34 · 3500 history records