Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D6
0xd621…b9ef
sports · 120 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$126 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$99 · open −$92
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$99
Unrealized−$92
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses69 / 50
Est. fees paid−$332
Open positions1
Markets (closed)119 / 120
Avg bet$173
Trades / day12.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 119 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$77
7 days+$141
14 days+$565
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 31¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 9¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 7¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 11¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 15¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 91¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 13¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner Karmine Corp 66¢ 0¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner Karmine Corp 47¢ 0¢ $187 $0 −$187 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 31¢ 0¢ $429 $0 −$429 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 34¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 22¢ 0¢ $304 $0 −$304 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 47¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 44¢ 0¢ $394 $0 −$394 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 19¢ 0¢ $235 $0 −$235 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 5¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 25¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 2 Winner Fnatic 49¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Natus Vincere 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp 20¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 76¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Hanwha Life Esports 29¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $109 +$77 +70%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $299 +$225 +75%
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $579 +$125 +22%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $164 +$83 +51%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $67 +$26 +40%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $214 −$214 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $256 −$252 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $151 +$29 +19%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $151 +$29 +19%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $7 −$7 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $68 +$20 +30%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner May 31 $213 +$55 +26%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner May 31 $231 −$4 -2%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner May 31 $215 +$121 +56%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner May 30 $75 +$11 +15%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner May 30 $131 −$131 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner May 30 $13 −$12 -99%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 30 $372 +$108 +29%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $496 +$277 +56%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $120 +$59 +49%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 29 $304 −$304 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 28 $114 −$70 -61%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $121 −$120 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 28 $196 −$42 -22%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $364 −$138 -38%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $284 +$412 +145%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner May 26 $377 +$145 +38%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 26 $165 −$106 -64%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 26 $229 +$186 +81%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $225 +$215 +96%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner May 25 $135 +$44 +32%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 24 $406 +$257 +63%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 24 $306 +$52 +17%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner May 24 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 4 Winner May 23 $140 +$41 +29%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner May 23 $250 −$165 -66%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 22 $143 +$38 +26%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 21 $307 −$300 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 21 $673 −$388 -58%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 21 $157 +$29 +18%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $156 −$156 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 20 $407 −$406 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 20 $204 +$25 +12%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 19 $909 −$337 -37%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 19 $863 +$303 +35%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 19 $584 +$111 +19%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 19 $45 −$44 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner May 17 $100 −$45 -45%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 17 $358 +$70 +20%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 17 $135 −$134 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$191
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 93¢ $186 36m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $109 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 85¢ $170 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 75¢ $66 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 75¢ $68 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 75¢ $16 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 60¢ $239 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 7¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 7¢ $13 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 9¢ $18 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 25¢ $51 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $103 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $23 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $111 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $8 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $10 3h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $99 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $93 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $239 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 20¢ $40 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 43¢ $43 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $61 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 86¢ $86 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $16 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $58 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $5 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $14 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $69 4d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 99¢ $247 4d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 65¢ $164 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +2.3% -7.5% 73% 73% -3.3%
≤30d 61 -17.6% -25.5% 56% 54% -9.7%
≤90d 119 -11.4% -19.8% 58% 54% -9.9%
all 119 -11.4% -19.8% 58% 54% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.8% 54% -9.9%
10% -27.5% 38% -18.6%
15% -34.5% 24% -26.4%
20% -40.9% 17% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.15 · official $0.15 (match) · 848 history records