Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:30:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd5f6…ac93
other · 48 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$372 -55%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$372 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$372
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses6 / 41
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)47 / 48
History coverage162d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 1 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$13
14 days−$86
30 days−$136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 22¢ 20¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-6%)
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 5? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 1? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down on June 1? Up 24¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Solana reach $90 in June? Jun 13 $20 −$13 -66%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 5? Jun 02 $10 −$9 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $15 −$14 -95%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 1? May 31 $5 −$4 -94%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5 May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17? May 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5 May 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? May 30 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17? May 30 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 20? May 30 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5) May 17 $27 −$21 -76%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $3 −$3 -83%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $7 −$4 -50%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 11AM ET May 17 $56 −$28 -49%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 10AM ET May 17 $23 +$5 +22%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 3? Feb 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Feb 24 $2 −$2 -90%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 22? Feb 24 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04? Feb 24 $25 −$25 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 10? Feb 04 $52 −$26 -50%
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 8? Feb 03 $5 −$2 -40%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 4? Feb 03 $27 +$24 +87%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14? Feb 03 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Solana reach $170 in February? Feb 03 $27 +$6 +21%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07? Jan 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC end in a draw? Jan 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw? Jan 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14? Jan 14 $22 −$5 -21%
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14? Jan 14 $23 $0 -2%
Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? Jan 07 $3 +$3 +98%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07? Jan 07 $1 +$2 +189%
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07? Jan 07 $1 $0 +27%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-07? Jan 07 $28 −$27 -96%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-07? Jan 07 $29 −$2 -6%
Will Cameroon win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? Jan 07 $31 −$2 -5%
Will Burkina Faso win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? Jan 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Will DR Congo win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? Jan 07 $22 −$22 -100%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06? Jan 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? Jan 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Mozambique win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? Jan 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-01-04? Jan 06 $40 −$40 -100%
Will South Africa win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? Jan 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Mali win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? Jan 06 $7 −$1 -19%
Will Tunisia win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? Jan 04 $13 −$13 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$207
crypto 43% −$118
sports 10% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 22¢ $7 1h
Will Solana reach $90 in June? SELL Yes 3¢ $7 1h
Will Solana reach $90 in June? BUY Yes 7¢ $20 7d
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 5? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 11d
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 11d
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 11d
Solana Up or Down on June 1? BUY Up 24¢ $15 12d
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 1? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 12d
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 1? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 12d
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 1? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 13d
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 22d
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? BUY No 5¢ $11 23d
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 20? BUY Yes 2¢ $13 24d
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 3¢ $7 26d
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5) SELL Olympique Lyonnais 15¢ $7 26d
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5) BUY Olympique Lyonnais 58¢ $27 26d
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? SELL No 2¢ $0 26d
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? SELL No 2¢ $0 26d
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? BUY No 12¢ $2 26d
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17? SELL Yes 2¢ $4 26d
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 5¢ $6 26d
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? BUY No 13¢ $1 26d
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 26d
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 11¢ $2 27d
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 27d
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 11¢ $1 27d
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 7¢ $3 27d
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 11AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $28 108d
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 11AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $28 108d
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 11AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $28 108d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-65.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -65.9% -69.2% 0% 0% -69.2%
≤30d 18 -83.5% -85.0% 6% 6% -67.9%
≤90d 18 -83.5% -85.0% 6% 6% -67.9%
all 47 -61.9% -65.5% 13% 13% -59.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -65.5% 13% -59.5%
10% -68.8% 9% -63.4%
15% -71.8% 6% -66.9%
20% -74.6% 6% -70.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.57 · official $6.57 (match) · 113 history records