trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 22 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 30 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $262 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | Jun 23 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | Jun 19 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 02 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 21 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 17 | $271 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | May 15 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 13 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 30 | $182 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 23 | $182 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 14 | $182 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 24 | $183 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 06 | $183 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Fe | Feb 03 | $183 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 02 | $183 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 29 | $176 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 06 | $177 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 04 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 03 | $174 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 02 | $176 | $0 | -0% |