trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +124.3% | +102.9% | 50% | 50% | +20.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +56.5% | +41.6% | 44% | 44% | -13.8% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 29% | 29% | -26.6% |
| all | 24 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 29% | 29% | -26.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.9% | 29% | -26.6% |
| 10% | -29.4% | 29% | -33.7% |
| 15% | -36.2% | 25% | -40.1% |
| 20% | -42.5% | 25% | -45.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 40¢ | 30¢ | $40 | $30 | −$10 (-25%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 21¢ | $8 | $14 | +$5 (+67%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $11 | $13 | +$2 (+14%) |
| Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 29¢ | 36¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+22%) |
| Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 14¢ | $11 | $8 | −$3 (-25%) |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $21 | $5 | −$16 (-75%) |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will Senegal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 3¢ | $8 | $4 | −$4 (-48%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $25 | +$48 | +193% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $22 | −$22 | -98% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$18 | +439% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Jun 11 | $40 | −$14 | -35% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Jun 10 | $5 | +$9 | +163% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | Jun 10 | $5 | +$8 | +149% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 07 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | May 30 | $8 | −$8 | -96% |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 29 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Joao Fonseca vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | May 06 | $15 | +$20 | +131% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | Apr 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Apr 16 | $26 | +$7 | +26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | Apr 16 | $6 | −$6 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | Apr 16 | $3 | −$3 | -93% |
| CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5 | Apr 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | Apr 14 | $10 | −$10 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | Apr 14 | $10 | −$9 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Apr 14 | $47 | −$45 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | Apr 14 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Apr 14 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 14 | $15 | +$31 | +206% |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | Apr 14 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | Apr 08 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |