Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:36:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd5ec…1baf
crypto · 631 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$3,183 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,306 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,306
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses340 / 291
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$40
Open positions0
Markets (closed)631 / 631
History coverage223d
Avg bet$137
Trades / day14.3
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 631 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$378
7 days+$106
14 days−$839
30 days−$642
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Jun 14 $64 −$34 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $89 −$86 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $144 −$140 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$91 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $154 −$119 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$48 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $111 +$89 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$46 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$47 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$22 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $117 −$99 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $189 −$143 -76%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $109 −$65 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$133 +118%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $177 −$103 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$95 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 12 $177 +$123 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $160 −$123 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $68 −$22 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $91 +$84 +93%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $101 −$79 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $55 −$41 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 11 $34 +$66 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $109 +$91 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $131 +$217 +165%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $56 −$13 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $206 +$196 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $104 −$62 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $49 −$42 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $114 −$61 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $300 +$211 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 10 $110 −$102 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 10 $72 −$72 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $170 −$170 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2PM ET Jun 10 $84 −$84 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $204 +$241 +118%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $74 +$55 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 09 $64 −$64 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Jun 09 $66 −$66 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $61 +$39 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $78 +$22 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $78 +$22 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET Jun 09 $73 +$57 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 09 $41 +$33 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $49 −$46 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $97 +$53 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $147 +$109 +74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$747
sports 5% +$623
other 0% −$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $34 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $23 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $16 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $24 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $39 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $6 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $34 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $23 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $25 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -1.8% -11.2% 47% 47% -7.5%
≤30d 87 -10.0% -18.6% 45% 44% -17.0%
≤90d 276 -1.6% -11.0% 50% 49% -11.1%
all 631 +5.6% -4.5% 54% 52% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.5% 52% -8.1%
10% -13.6% 49% -16.9%
15% -22.0% 44% -25.0%
20% -29.6% 39% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records