Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:49:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd5ea…3fd3
crypto · 855 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$128 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$196 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$196
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses421 / 433
Open positions1
Markets (closed)854 / 855
History coverage36d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day47.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 854 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$152
14 days−$151
30 days−$158
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 55¢ 48¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+132%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$197
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 441 -9.4% -18.0% 50% 34% -17.5%
≤30d 661 -7.8% -16.5% 49% 29% -14.1%
≤90d 854 -7.9% -16.6% 49% 34% -14.4%
all 854 -7.9% -16.6% 49% 34% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 34% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 30% -22.6%
15% -31.9% 24% -30.1%
20% -38.6% 19% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.67 · official $4.45 · 2145 history records