Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:31:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd5e7…bda6
crypto · 14 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses7 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage88d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Mar 27 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Mar 27 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Mar 27 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 17 $1 $0 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-36.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -47.8% -52.8% 40% 40% -23.3%
≤30d 10 -47.8% -52.8% 40% 40% -23.3%
≤90d 14 -29.8% -36.5% 50% 43% -18.3%
all 14 -29.8% -36.5% 50% 43% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.5% 43% -18.3%
10% -42.6% 36% -26.1%
15% -48.1% 21% -33.2%
20% -53.2% 0% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 34 history records