Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:26:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd5e3…85fa
other · 26 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11 -32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$9
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses4 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions9
Markets (closed)17 / 26
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day20.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit19%
Chart Positions 9 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? Yes $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Breel Embolo: 1+ assists Yes 24¢ 27¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Son Heungmin: 2+ Goals Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Lee Jaesung: 1+ goals Yes 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Lee Kangin: 1+ goals Yes 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 $0 -5%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Esmir Bajraktarević: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1 +$5 +500%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +71%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Lee Jaesung: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Lee Kangin: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Son Heungmin: 2+ Goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +41%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 85% −$8
sports 15% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes $1 11m
Breel Embolo: 1+ assists BUY Yes 24¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes $1 2h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 2h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $1 17h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $1 17h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes $1 17h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $1 17h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 20¢ $1 17h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 17h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $1 17h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes $1 18h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 18h
Esmir Bajraktarević: 1+ goals SELL Yes $0 22h
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals SELL Yes $0 22h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $1 22h
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals SELL Yes 94¢ $6 22h
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals BUY Yes 15¢ $1 22h
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals BUY Yes 16¢ $1 23h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 18¢ $2 23h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 43¢ $2 23h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 24h
Esmir Bajraktarević: 1+ goals BUY Yes 14¢ $1 24h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 24h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 39h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 39h
Lee Jaesung: 1+ goals BUY Yes 18¢ $1 40h
Lee Kangin: 1+ goals BUY Yes 20¢ $1 40h
Son Heungmin: 2+ Goals BUY Yes $1 41h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-37.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -31.1% -37.7% 24% 24% -53.3%
≤30d 17 -31.1% -37.7% 24% 24% -53.3%
≤90d 17 -31.1% -37.7% 24% 24% -53.3%
all 17 -31.1% -37.7% 24% 24% -53.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.7% 24% -53.3%
10% ← realistic here -43.7% 18% -57.8%
15% -49.1% 18% -61.8%
20% -54.1% 12% -65.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.04 · official $9.04 (match) · 41 history records