Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:45:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd5d4…cfcb
crypto · 267 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$32 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$119
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses251 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)261 / 267
History coverage7d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day37.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 261 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$38
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+3%)
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? No 98¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? No 97¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+3%)
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election? Yes 97¢ 94¢ $19 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? No 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$2
politics 6% −$15
finance 3% −$18
other 1% +$2
sports 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 9h
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA BUY No 99¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 9h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $13 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $13 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $15 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 252 -0.6% -10.1% 96% 1% -10.5%
≤30d 261 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 1% -10.3%
≤90d 261 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 1% -10.3%
all 261 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 1% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 1% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 0% -18.9%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $118.74 · official $118.74 (match) · 522 history records