Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:49:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd5ca…19c8
sports · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)4 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 5 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 79¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+20%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 53¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+89%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Spirit 83¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $3 $0 -12%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $0 $0 -53%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$2
other 26% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-26.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -18.2% -26.0% 0% 0% -18.5%
≤30d 4 -18.2% -26.0% 0% 0% -18.5%
≤90d 4 -18.2% -26.0% 0% 0% -18.5%
all 4 -18.2% -26.0% 0% 0% -18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.0% 0% -18.5%
10% -33.1% 0% -26.3%
15% -39.6% 0% -33.4%
20% -45.5% 0% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.04 · official $5.04 (match) · 19 history records