Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:40:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd5b3…78f4
crypto · 147 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$334 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$334 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$334
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses71 / 76
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)147 / 147
History coverage108d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 147 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47
7 days−$47
14 days−$47
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$15 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$18 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $77 −$20 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$16 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$29 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$15 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$15 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$14 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$7 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$12 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$11 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$1 +2%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +50%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $10 −$5 -54%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Apr 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Apr 25 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Apr 25 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Apr 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Apr 25 $38 −$22 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Apr 14 $10 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Apr 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Apr 14 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Apr 14 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Feb 25 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Feb 25 $30 −$15 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Feb 25 $9 −$3 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$324
sports 0% −$5
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -3.5% -12.7% 47% 29% -14.8%
≤30d 38 -3.5% -12.7% 47% 29% -14.8%
≤90d 47 -12.4% -20.8% 43% 26% -22.8%
all 147 -9.9% -18.5% 48% 38% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.5% 38% -16.3%
10% -26.3% 31% -24.3%
15% -33.4% 27% -31.6%
20% -39.9% 16% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 674 history records