Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:05:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd5ad…7f0b
crypto · 229 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$17 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$45
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses128 / 92
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions9
Markets (closed)220 / 229
History coverage22d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day19.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 9 History 220 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$13
14 days−$10
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 66¢ 55¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 28¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 39¢ 55¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+40%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-26%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -59%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$10 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +247%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +74%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +66%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +66%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +112%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $5 +$2 +40%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $3 +$2 +56%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $2 +$3 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $10 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$4 -82%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 +$1 +78%
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $1 +$1 +64%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Greece vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5 Jun 07 $1 $0 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +3%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $1 +$1 +140%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $1 $0 +13%
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5 Jun 07 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 07 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 07 $11 +$1 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $2 $0 +12%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +11%
United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $2 +$1 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$37
sports 10% +$3
other 4% −$11
tech 1% −$3
finance 1% +$4
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 1h
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 66¢ $2 22h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 78¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $7 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $6 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $8 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $6 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 42h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $1 42h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 42h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +6.0% -4.1% 59% 54% -18.0%
≤30d 220 -1.6% -10.9% 58% 48% -14.2%
≤90d 220 -1.6% -10.9% 58% 48% -14.2%
all 220 -1.6% -10.9% 58% 48% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 48% -14.2%
10% -19.5% 42% -22.4%
15% -27.2% 36% -29.9%
20% -34.4% 27% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.28 · official $11.28 (match) · 549 history records