Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd59f…3634
crypto · 374 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$98 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$98 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$98
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses209 / 164
Open positions1
Markets (closed)373 / 374
History coverage6d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day86.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 373 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$98
14 days−$98
30 days−$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -53%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -66%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$98
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 30m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 373 -8.3% -17.0% 56% 53% -19.8%
≤30d 373 -8.3% -17.0% 56% 53% -19.8%
≤90d 373 -8.3% -17.0% 56% 53% -19.8%
all 373 -8.3% -17.0% 56% 53% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover86.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 53% -19.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 43% -27.5%
15% -32.2% 27% -34.5%
20% -38.8% 19% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.89 · official $9.89 (match) · 875 history records