Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:53:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd59d…99a3
other · 10 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$33 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$51 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$147
Realized+$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses2 / 3
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions5
Markets (closed)5 / 10
History coverage2d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit30%
Chart Positions 5 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$81
7 days+$51
14 days+$51
30 days+$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 18¢ 46¢ $27 $68 +$41 (+153%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 100¢ $40 $67 +$27 (+67%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 22¢ $30 $12 −$18 (-61%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $16 +$40 +250%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $46 +$73 +158%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 76% +$61
sports 24% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $28 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $30 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $20 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $40 3h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $31 3h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $16 34h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $16 34h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $16 34h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $31 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $46 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +21.6% +10.0% 40% 40% +28.1%
≤30d 5 +21.6% +10.0% 40% 40% +28.1%
≤90d 5 +21.6% +10.0% 40% 40% +28.1%
all 5 +21.6% +10.0% 40% 40% +28.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +10.0% 40% +28.1%
10% -0.5% 40% +15.9%
15% -10.1% 40% +4.7%
20% -18.9% 40% -5.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $146.85 · official $146.85 (match) · 12 history records