Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd59d…65b3
crypto · 464 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$890 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$955 · open −$65
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$285
Realized+$955
Unrealized−$65
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses255 / 306
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)561 / 464
History coverage3d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day972.7
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 561 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$201
7 days+$955
14 days+$955
30 days+$955
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Down 51¢ 72¢ $143 $203 +$60 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 65¢ 28¢ $101 $43 −$59 (-58%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 78¢ 52¢ $38 $25 −$12 (-33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Down 73¢ 48¢ $18 $11 −$6 (-35%)
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 9, 12PM ET? No 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 12, 12PM ET? No 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 8, 3AM ET? No 63¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin above 60,600 on June 6, 10PM ET? Yes 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 7, 9AM ET? No 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 7, 9PM ET? No 18¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+456%)
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 8PM ET? Yes 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 12, 2PM ET? No 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 9, 9AM ET? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 7PM ET? No 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 9, 6PM ET? No 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 5PM ET? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 4PM ET? No 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 8, 11PM ET? No 13¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 10AM ET? No 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 2AM ET? No 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 8, 3PM ET? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 9, 10PM ET? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 10, 9AM ET? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 4AM ET? No 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 8, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
Bitcoin above 60,600 on June 6, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 +20%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 7, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 7, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 9, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 5PM ET? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 4PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 8, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 2AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 8, 3PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 6, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 9, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 6PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 7, 7PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 8, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 9, 1AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 8, 3PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 1AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 6, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 7, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 7, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,720 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 7, 12PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 8, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 8, 1PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 7, 11AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 9, 4AM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 7, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 7, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 7, 6PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 12AM ET? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,560 on June 6, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,319
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $18 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $18 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $19 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $8 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $22 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $19 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $17 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $18 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 561 -10.1% -18.7% 45% 32% -5.9%
≤30d 561 -10.1% -18.7% 45% 32% -5.9%
≤90d 561 -10.1% -18.7% 45% 32% -5.9%
all 561 -10.1% -18.7% 45% 32% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover972.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 32% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 21% -14.9%
15% -33.5% 14% -23.2%
20% -40.1% 9% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $285.21 · official $282.23 · 3500 history records