Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:41:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd599…6bfc
other · 62 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
+$140 +28%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$149 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$149
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses23 / 38
Open positions1
Markets (closed)61 / 62
History coverage132d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit13%
Chart Positions 1 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 10¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-82%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $101 +$71 +70%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $50 +$43 +86%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? Apr 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31? Apr 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? Mar 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15? Mar 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12? Mar 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11? Mar 12 $10 +$13 +133%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05? Mar 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03? Mar 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03? Mar 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? Mar 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-07? Mar 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04? Mar 05 $5 +$4 +79%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04? Mar 05 $5 +$8 +163%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03? Mar 05 $5 +$3 +67%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? Mar 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02? Mar 03 $5 +$6 +117%
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? Mar 02 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01? Mar 02 $7 +$3 +47%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? Mar 02 $10 +$6 +59%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? Mar 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28? Mar 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? Mar 01 $6 +$4 +72%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28? Mar 01 $6 +$5 +82%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28? Mar 01 $5 +$4 +82%
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-23? Feb 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23? Feb 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24? Feb 25 $10 +$35 +354%
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-23? Feb 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw? Feb 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? Feb 23 $4 +$2 +49%
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Feb 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a dr Feb 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Feb 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20? Feb 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-02-20? Feb 21 $2 +$5 +257%
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? Feb 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17? Feb 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? Feb 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17? Feb 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18? Feb 19 $18 +$68 +376%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16? Feb 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11? Feb 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12? Feb 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11? Feb 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-11? Feb 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-11? Feb 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08? Feb 09 $10 +$11 +109%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08? Feb 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 95% +$160
sports 4% −$21
crypto 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $10 1h
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? BUY Yes 58¢ $101 27d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? BUY No 53¢ $50 34d
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 73d
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 73d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? BUY No 84¢ $5 83d
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 87d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15? BUY Yes 85¢ $5 89d
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 92d
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11? BUY Yes 43¢ $10 93d
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-07? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 98d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 99d
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 100d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 100d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? BUY Yes 66¢ $5 100d
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03? BUY Yes 60¢ $5 101d
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03? BUY Yes 55¢ $5 101d
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03? BUY Yes 37¢ $4 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 102d
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 102d
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 103d
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01? BUY Yes 68¢ $7 103d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 103d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28? BUY Yes 55¢ $6 104d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? BUY Yes 58¢ $6 104d
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28? BUY Yes 55¢ $5 104d
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 104d
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? BUY Yes 55¢ $10 105d
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-23? BUY Yes 21¢ $3 109d
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-23? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 109d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-28.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +70.3% +54.1% 100% 100% +54.1%
≤90d 6 -20.8% -28.3% 50% 50% +35.5%
all 61 -20.5% -28.1% 38% 38% +18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.1% 38% +18.2%
10% -35.0% 36% +6.9%
15% -41.3% 36% -3.4%
20% -47.0% 33% -12.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.79 · official $1.79 (match) · 129 history records