Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:19:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd596…3737
crypto · 197 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses136 / 60
Open positions1
Markets (closed)196 / 197
History coverage5d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day42.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55
7 days−$24
14 days−$24
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 86¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 196 +2.5% -7.2% 69% 45% -11.1%
≤30d 196 +2.5% -7.2% 69% 45% -11.1%
≤90d 196 +2.5% -7.2% 69% 45% -11.1%
all 196 +2.5% -7.2% 69% 45% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 45% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 29% -19.6%
15% -24.2% 19% -27.4%
20% -31.6% 14% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.68 · official $3.75 (match) · 428 history records