trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.6% | -8.9% | 40% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 38% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 36% | 9% | -7.9% |
| all | 22 | +83.4% | +65.9% | 55% | 14% | -5.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +65.9% | 14% | -5.3% |
| 10% | +50.1% | 5% | -14.4% |
| 15% | +35.6% | 5% | -22.6% |
| 20% | +22.3% | 5% | -30.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 25 | $42 | +$1 | +4% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 24 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 24 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 24 | $81 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 23 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 27 | $48 | +$2 | +4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $6 | $0 | -4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $51 | −$2 | -4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 25 | $56 | −$6 | -10% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $47 | +$7 | +15% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York C | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Francis Arinze be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 28 | $64 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $51 | +$8 | +16% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Mar 22 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17? | Mar 18 | $1 | +$43 | +7101% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 16 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 7-14? | Mar 15 | $13 | $0 | +3% |