Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd588…a67b
crypto · 203 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$700 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$699 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$699
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses83 / 118
Open positions2
Markets (closed)201 / 203
History coverage18d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day31.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 201 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$447
14 days−$640
30 days−$699
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-20%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $140 −$44 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$11 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +145%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$11 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$16 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$4 +195%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$5 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$19 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 10 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 10 $134 −$130 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $101 +$26 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$24 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$7 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $65 +$149 +231%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $83 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$9 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$8 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$21 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$100 +945%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $47 +$56 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $47 −$39 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$8 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $51 +$9 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$27 +130%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $70 +$20 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$700
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $25 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $25 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $23 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $22 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $47 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $42 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)+4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +43.3% +29.7% 47% 44% -24.0%
≤30d 201 +15.7% +4.7% 41% 37% -17.9%
≤90d 201 +15.7% +4.7% 41% 37% -17.9%
all 201 +15.7% +4.7% 41% 37% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.7% 37% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -5.3% 31% -25.8%
15% -14.5% 27% -32.9%
20% -22.9% 22% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.74 · official $2.59 (match) · 646 history records