Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:28:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd580…5203
crypto · 1105 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,189 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,190 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$33
Realized−$5,190
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses689 / 750
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1439 / 1105
Avg bet$23
Trades / day551.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 1439 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,989
7 days−$5,190
14 days−$5,190
30 days−$5,190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $189 −$189 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$400
other 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $9 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $97 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $5 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $44 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $8 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $54 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-37.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1439 -30.5% -37.1% 48% 8% -25.6%
≤30d 1439 -30.5% -37.1% 48% 8% -25.6%
≤90d 1439 -30.5% -37.1% 48% 8% -25.6%
all 1439 -30.5% -37.1% 48% 8% -25.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover551.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.1% 8% -25.6%
10% ← realistic here -43.1% 5% -32.7%
15% -48.6% 4% -39.2%
20% -53.7% 3% -45.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.30 · official $33.15 (match) · 3500 history records