Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd57d…590e
sports · 349 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$351 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$352 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$100
Realized+$352
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses165 / 179
Est. fees paid−$314
Open positions5
Markets (closed)344 / 349
History coverage74d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day15.4
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 5 History 344 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$24
14 days+$24
30 days−$328
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 66¢ 66¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 50¢ 50¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 40¢ 40¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 29¢ 29¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 63¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 35¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 32¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Knicks Cavaliers 32¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-6.5) Spurs 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $68 +$61 +89%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $67 −$20 -30%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $18 −$1 -6%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -7%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $20 −$15 -75%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $31 +$44 +142%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $15 −$7 -49%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 $0 -0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 −$11 -72%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 21 $35 −$35 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $239 −$199 -83%
Spread: Thunder (-6.5) May 20 $101 −$100 -99%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5 May 20 $101 −$5 -5%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 May 20 $30 +$15 +50%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 May 20 $65 +$20 +31%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 20 $51 +$83 +163%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) May 20 $51 +$44 +88%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners May 19 $95 +$87 +91%
Spread: Thunder (-2.5) May 19 $61 +$31 +51%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 19 $31 +$33 +106%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5 May 19 $205 −$173 -85%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5 May 18 $71 +$31 +43%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 18 $41 +$63 +154%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5 May 18 $61 −$60 -98%
Cagliari Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners May 18 $25 +$16 +65%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 May 18 $61 −$60 -99%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5 May 18 $20 −$2 -10%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $40 −$22 -56%
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 0 Hellas Verona FC? May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners May 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 0 Hellas Verona FC? May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 11.5 Total Corners May 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) May 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score May 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) May 17 $20 −$20 -100%
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score May 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 12.5 Total Corners May 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 10.5 Total Corners May 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5 May 17 $38 −$38 -100%
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 9.5 Total Corners May 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 0 - 0 Hellas Verona FC? May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5 May 17 $152 −$111 -73%
Lakers vs. Rockets May 17 $152 −$152 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% +$461
other 12% +$41
crypto 3% −$166
finance 1% −$6
tech 1% +$96
world 0% −$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 29¢ $10 50m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 40¢ $10 50m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $20 50m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 66¢ $30 51m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $31 52m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $121 57m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 60¢ $48 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $14 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 60¢ $33 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 46¢ $0 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $16 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 53¢ $17 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 55¢ $18 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 31¢ $9 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 38¢ $20 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Under 15¢ $5 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 28¢ $7 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $20 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $15 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 57¢ $20 2h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $45 17h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 81¢ $14 18h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners SELL Over 35¢ $7 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 26¢ $16 18h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 56¢ $15 18h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $15 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -15.8% -23.8% 20% 20% -1.6%
≤30d 90 -3.8% -13.0% 43% 41% -18.5%
≤90d 344 -3.3% -12.5% 48% 42% -8.2%
all 344 -3.3% -12.5% 48% 42% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 42% -8.2%
10% -20.9% 35% -17.0%
15% -28.5% 29% -25.0%
20% -35.5% 22% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.79 · official $99.79 (match) · 1240 history records