Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd574…5262
crypto · 793 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,012 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,007 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,007
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses280 / 511
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)791 / 793
Avg bet$12
Trades / day41.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 791 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$66
7 days−$66
14 days−$74
30 days−$397
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 68¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 50¢ 32¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-37%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$9 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$2 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$15 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$14 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$12 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$7 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$10 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 01 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 01 $12 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 28 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 27 $4 −$3 -75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$988
other 0% −$17
sports 0% −$7
weather 0% $0
politics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $0 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 7m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 8m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 10m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 11m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $12 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $11 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $12 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $12 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $14 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $16 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $15 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-28.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -27.9% -34.8% 40% 21% -16.7%
≤30d 280 -28.9% -35.7% 33% 26% -19.9%
≤90d 791 -20.9% -28.5% 35% 31% -19.5%
all 791 -20.9% -28.5% 35% 31% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.5% 31% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -35.3% 24% -27.2%
15% -41.6% 18% -34.2%
20% -47.3% 13% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.30 · official $0.05 (match) · 3500 history records