Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:15:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd572…21ba
crypto · 1301 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$577 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$577 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$577
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses281 / 499
Open positions0
Markets (closed)780 / 1301
History coverage11d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day113.6
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 780 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$194
7 days+$420
14 days+$577
30 days+$577
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 11¢ 100¢ $1 $9 +$8 (+809%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +313%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$8 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$8 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$6 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$577
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+39.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 559 +67.2% +51.2% 30% 30% +57.4%
≤30d 780 +54.1% +39.4% 36% 36% +29.0%
≤90d 780 +54.1% +39.4% 36% 36% +29.0%
all 780 +54.1% +39.4% 36% 36% +29.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover113.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +39.4% 36% +29.0%
10% ← realistic here +26.1% 36% +16.7%
15% +13.9% 36% +5.4%
20% +2.7% 36% -4.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.09 · official $9.11 (match) · 1582 history records