Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd563…c2ba
crypto · 1398 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$8 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses614 / 705
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1319 / 1398
History coverage11d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day206.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1319 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$55
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 34¢ 44¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 970 +3.2% -6.6% 51% 51% -4.5%
≤30d 1319 -1.0% -10.4% 47% 45% -9.0%
≤90d 1319 -1.0% -10.4% 47% 45% -9.0%
all 1319 -1.0% -10.4% 47% 45% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover206.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 45% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 43% -17.7%
15% -26.8% 42% -25.7%
20% -34.0% 41% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.28 · official $1.51 (match) · 2265 history records